Well that 'future' is becoming a reality. Futurismic brought an interesting article to me through their RSS feed that talks about a prosthetic limb that can sense touch and heat. Nothing there about pain, obviously, and I can't imagine you'd want to give such a device painful sensations, but this is a wonderful example of how science fiction has shaped our society. Forty years ago people wouldn't have thought we'd be building fake hands that can move and feel. They also didn't think we'd ever really figure out how to make robotic machines function via the thought of a human, something which we're actually working on and slowly developing. This trend, which I've brought up numerous times, is exactly why SF needs to be paid attention to. It isn't a genre of a bunch of idiots running around coming up with futures that are completely realistic, though I imagine that some are. If we looked to writers like Robert J. Sawyer we can see now, just as it was way back when, that SF writers are handling real world issues and presenting solutions and ideas to the world. Why are we ignoring them? Perhaps it has to do with science.
L. E. Modesitt, Jr. recently tackled the concern over scientific study here. The post suggested the recent destruction of the education system, an idea that Modesitt considers to be a systematic removal of the science-born minds of our world. Whether it's true that our current administration is actually trying to dumb us up and make us susceptible to governmental rule due to our ignorance is for another argument, but the point still stands that the U.S. has a lot to answer for in regards to its obvious reduction in innovation and scientific interest. Modesitt hits the nail on the head by bringing up the recent fund-cut in Physics by the government:
Now... some may claim that might be going a bit too far, but, in support of the Bush war budget, the latest Congressional appropriations take huge cuts out of fundamental research in physics, so much so that Fermilab in Illinois and Stanford's Linear Accelerator Center together will lay off more than 300 scientists and employees, essentially closing for all practical purposes. Why? Supposedly because the something like $95-$100 million required is needed more to fund the war than for physics research.Modesitt sees a trend in society that we should be incredibly concerned about. Budget cuts for education and science are huge concerns not only for those intending to move into the science world--a field that is absolutely a necessity if this country intends to do anything of considerable value in the next few decades--but also for SF writers like Modesitt. We have seen a reduction of scientific thought and scientific-minded people in the U.S. and a rise of, shall we say radical religious politics. Religion is on the rise and science is being shut out. Why? One would have to assume there is some logic here, but there isn't any. Science is, plain and simple, absolute, in the same sense that God is absolute, in its mission to learn and enhance human knowledge. That is what science does, and without science our world would not exist. Science gave us the car, the computer, the airplane, etc. What lies below all that are SF writers, who came up with these amazing creations that were once thought to be a load of bologna.
Pardon me, but I don't see cuts in $200 million bridges to nowhere, and the cuts in federal funds for physics research amount to tenths of a percent of the annual costs of waging the war in
. Such research cuts won't add anything meaningful to the war funding, but they will cripple American physics research for years, if not longer. Iraq
My concerns, however, are not necessarily that SF is going to die of its own accord, but that it will die, at least in the U.S., due to a failing system of thought (I use 'will' loosely here, because it's not necessarily going to die for certain, but if things don't change it very well could). Religion is not better than science, and neither is science better than religion. Both have tremendous benefits, when used correctly. Science, however, is the practical solution to an advancing society, or world for that matter. Likewise, science fiction greatly depends on an environment where scientific thought is open and able to grow. If airplanes had never been invented, would SF have ever been more than pulp fiction? What if computers, space ships, etc. had never seen the light of day? SF would have simply been another 'fantasy' genre, with no basis in reality. We're fortunate to have seen these creations come into existence, and fortunate to see things like prosthetic arms that can feel be brought to life. Without scientific advancement where will SF writers have to go?
Certainly writers like Tobias S. Buckell will still be writing great stories, but he writes a specific 'type' of SF story. Tobias is not what I would call your 'hard SF' writer, though his stories do hinge on realistic ideas of science, to some extent. His stories are sort of like more complicated Space Opera, only better (not New Space Opera, but the old kind). They are adventure stories in the best sense of the term. That being said, one has to look at writers like Ben Bova, Chris Moriarty, Charles Stross, and many others whose ability to write or sell SF in the U.S. might be diminished. This is a two-edged sword, though.
First, the loss of scientific thought might very well prevent U.S. writers from writing those works that have influenced and shaped our world. If scientists can't come up with new ideas and implement them, then anything such SF writers can come up with will lose value. People might stop caring altogether about futuristic ideas and SF might very well fall into a state of adventure and politics over science. That's not to say that adventure stories are bad, and please do not misconstrue this. Tobias' works are fantastic--Crystal Rain and Ragamuffin--but what makes SF so wonderful is that it is diverse. It doesn't sit and write only one general type of story. Everyone is writing works entirely different from Tobias', as they should be. The genre would be clouded by cliches and repeated themes if not for diversity, which in SF would destroy the genre itself. Unlike fantasy, SF cannot fall pray to a repetition of themes because it, unfortunately, cannot benefit from the creation of entirely new worlds, to some extent (obviously SF writers do create new worlds, but it is within the framework of reality, rather than devising entirely different worlds that CAN'T exist. That's the difference.). This concern is a significant concern, I think, in that U.S. writers may be forced to find new outlets if they want their overly complex ideas to see the light. Why? On to the second problem.
If science is pushed aside in the U.S., so too will scientific thought be suppressed and reduced in schools, which is already happening. I'm only 24, but I can attest to the complete lack of knowledge in the sciences, as I have seen it myself. There is little to advance learning of physics and biology. We learn the very, very basics and only if you're interested enough do you go to college and take an advanced course. But the public school system is not prepared to teach a society of Americans who are either polarized by differing opinions on what is realistic and what isn't (i.e. creationism vs. evolution) or simply can't comprehend something like Einstein's theory of relativity, to which I would say we need a collection of Dummy books for the various concepts in science to make things very clear and understandable (some scientific theories are written in such complex manners that even scientifically knowledgeable people such as myself have problems understanding them). In addition, our system is designed to teach temporary retention, not comprehension. This means that we require our children and college students to remember certain things long enough to pass the test, but don't try to make them comprehend it. You don't have to understand how a cell works to pass a biology test in high school. I know, I've done it. Our system needs to be signed so that it creates comprehension over temporary retention. Focusing on testing is not the solution and never was--and it likely has caused more damage than it was supposed to.
Why does this second one become a problem? If science-literacy is reduced to a state below rudimentary understanding, SF will have problems addressing the audience, except where non-scientific based more adventure style SF is concerned. Certainly SF in its 'harder' form would exist outside the U.S. should other countries maintain innovative and scientific thought, however they will be forced to send their works elsewhere. The U.S. has one of the world's largest publishing industries. We consume books like we consume music, to some extent (well, maybe not, but we do consume books rather readily here). Literacy is already a huge concern in the U.S., but so is science literacy. SF is not, in general, a wholly complex genre of fiction (on the outside; I can admit that it gets very complex and interesting when you really dig in). In a lot of ways it is really quite accessible, even the hard stuff. There are very few novels written in a fashion that isn't understandable; such novels are oddities in a huge market of SF. Regardless, one really needs some grasp of science to understand a lot of SF. This isn't to say you need to know physics or biology, or anything like that, in any sort of significant manner, but you should know the basic rules of physics and how cells divide and have some mental understanding what it means to say 'genetic manipulation' or 'zero G'. Yet there are a lot of people that don't understand. These are the folks that either aren't paying attention because of a lack of understanding or are asking "what does that mean?" only to be met with definitions beyond them.
The end result, then, is for countries to maintain some sort of positive support of the sciences. SF not only depends on it, but so does society. Look around you. See the things that have made your life easier, simpler, or even more exciting. Think about how fun it is to drive a car, or to get on an airplane, or ride a rollercoaster (you'd be surprised how much science goes into those, by the way), etc. This is the world you live in. SF is everywhere and so is science. Our lives are rooted in the stuff and we have a duty to keep it coming. If scientific thought goes away, then imagine what our future will be like. This is probably the most frightening prospect I have encountered: the thought of science actually devolving, or falling away. Changes have to be made to prevent it. Technology must survive; science must survive; science fiction must survive. Protect it as if it were a child, because just like a child...it is our future.
P.S.: I know that last bit was rather corny. On a side note I want to make it very clear that I am not in any way insulting Tobias S. Buckell's writing. Please do not misunderstand this. I love his work, but it is a type of SF that isn't 'hard SF'. That doesn't mean it is bad, it just means it's not the type of SF that intentionally throws in loads of quantum physics, string theory, etc. His works use science, but indirectly, meaning that there is science beneath it all, but it's not brought to the front very much. He writes adventure/space opera type stuff, which is a wonderful, exciting, enthralling genre. No insult is meant.